First of all a very happy 2019 to all, hope everyone had a
good first weekend of 2019. Personally I had a good weekend as I attended Wang
Lee Hom's concert and had a good long talk with a friend at Macs later on that
lifted my mood.
Moving on to today's write-up .........
Medinex
HC Surgical released its 2nd quarter results earlier in the
day,
Share of Results of an associate (Medinex) came in at $6000.
This is a decrease of 99.1% compared to previous year's same quarter results.
This would probably indicate that Medinex earned lesser than $300 000 for the 2nd
half of the year as compared to $1 057 000 in 1st half of 2018 . This is a fall
of 70% from first half to 2nd half. It remains to be seen how this IPO fares in
the long run but I have voiced my concerns in my previous post on the IPO.
UnUsual Productions
If number of concerts in Singapore is a good gauge of
revenue then the below table might be useful
In $
|
2017 Q4 Jan- March
|
Q1 April- June
|
Q2 July- Sept
|
Q3 Oct- Dec
(Estimations)
|
Concerts Occurred in Singapore
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
7
|
Revenue
|
16 323 227
|
6 029 172
|
18 809 192
|
13 900 000
|
Gross Profit
|
6 169 051
|
3 861 289
|
6 301 041
|
5 560 000
|
Gross Profit Margin
|
37.79%
|
64.04%
|
33.49%
|
40%
|
Admin Expense
|
1 878 498
|
1 154 674
|
2 046 442
|
1 807 000 (13% of revenue)
|
Income Tax Expense
|
867 621
|
510 617
|
1 058 201
|
821 070
(21.87% of Profit Before Tax)
|
Profit After Tax
|
3 485 625
|
2 359 258
|
3 242 773
|
2 931 929
|
EPS (Cents)
|
0.33
|
0.22
|
0.32
|
0.28
|
-A key thing to note would be that productions(61.65%) bring
in higher margins than promotions(22.53%) in FY 2018. Also according to FY 2018,
ticket sales contribute to promotions. This could explain why Q1 had better
margins despite Q2 having higher concerts occurring. With that I would estimate
gross profit to come in at $ 5 560 000 in Q3. My estimations of Profit after
tax would be 2 931 929 or 0.28 cents
- Moving forward, it seems like there is only 4 concerts in
Q4 (January to March). It remains to be seen if more events are added or
overseas collaborations(those not listed on UnUsual website) would improve the
top and bottom line.
Road King (HKEX: 1098)
Road King has released its operating statistics for full
year 2018
In RMB millions
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
Full Year
|
Toll Revenue
|
698
|
772
|
857
|
752
|
3079
|
Property Sales
|
6978
|
10247
|
8298
|
8980
|
34503
|
Total Sales
|
6978
|
9549
|
9155
|
9732
|
37582
|
As Compared to full year 2017
In RMB millions
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
Full Year
|
Toll Revenue
|
Not Given
|
Not Given
|
Not Given
|
Not Given
|
2661
|
Property Sales
|
8992
|
6882
|
7392
|
5066
|
26304
|
Total Sales
|
8992
|
6882
|
7392
|
5066
|
28965
|
Total Sales amounted to a year on year gain of 29.7%. This
is particularly impressive as I have previously read online that the Road King
Management aims for 30 000 million in property sales in 2018 and they have
achieved it.
Road King's property sales are usually recognized as revenue
in the following years ahead and this year's sales would have provided some
light on its FY 2019 results.
To have a better picture, let's compare to other listed
property companies with operations in China
In RMB Millions
|
China Aoyuan(HKEX 3883)
|
Country Garden(HKEX 2007)
|
Logan Property(HKEX 3380)
|
China Vanke (HKEX 2202)
|
Shimao Property (HKEX 813)
|
Road King (HKEX 1098)
|
Full Year Sales
|
91 280
|
501 880
|
71800
|
606 950
|
176 146
|
34 503
|
Full Year Sales per Share
|
34.04
|
23.28
|
13.07
|
54.98
|
52.23
|
46.04
|
1H Portion
|
44.13%
|
61.93%
|
49.4%
|
50.2%
|
41.1%
|
49.9%
|
2H Portion
|
55.87%
|
38.07%
|
50.6%
|
49.8%
|
58.9%
|
50.1%
|
Gross Margins (1H 2018)
|
28.6%
|
26.5%
|
37%
|
33.7%
|
31%
|
47%
|
Net Profit Margins (1H 2018)
|
10.8%
|
12.3%
|
25%
|
12.8%
|
14.3%
|
20.2%
|
Net Gearing Ratio( 1H 2018)
|
67.5%
|
59%
|
66.3%
|
32.7%
|
62.7%
|
49%
|
From the table above(which is not comprehensive), we can
tell that there isn't a clear cut winner but Road King has done well in the
gross margins segment by topping the table. It is also believed that Road King
has produced the highest gross margins in 1H 2018 among all China listed property
companies. In the other segments it did not top, it placed itself in top 3
among the 6 company comparison. As not all December sales number are released
yet among the various companies, this result is just a small sample size.
Nevertheless, I would be interested to hear about the property
sales targets and estimated gross margins from the Road King Management in 2019.
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